Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.231424 4.541546 4.874338 5.259945 5.696909 6.179660 6.757477
2025-08-17 3.659231 4.072002 4.542304 5.124816 5.837104 6.693826 7.825090
2025-08-24 3.327970 3.791266 4.340490 5.052760 5.972904 7.153579 8.841921
2025-08-31 3.141077 3.647175 4.267077 5.103037 6.236508 7.780035 10.164967
2025-09-07 2.978258 3.510915 4.180742 5.113646 6.431773 8.323759 11.465954
2025-09-14 2.773358 3.302451 3.979644 4.943843 6.346067 8.436737 12.103267
2025-09-21 2.621671 3.150874 3.839373 4.840221 6.336569 8.652560 12.946602
2025-09-28 2.506131 3.038378 3.741647 4.784556 6.386590 8.960997 14.019485
2025-10-05 2.422058 2.962048 3.686715 4.783362 6.515865 9.413256 15.484657
2025-10-12 2.374688 2.931840 3.692447 4.869891 6.790575 10.156890 17.793597
2025-10-19 2.326172 2.896629 3.687589 4.937873 7.039738 10.895023 20.381356
2025-10-26 2.264702 2.839702 3.647115 4.945620 7.184564 11.456110 22.774874
2025-11-02 2.177359 2.744638 3.548962 4.859880 7.165653 11.706111 24.511530
2025-11-09 2.086005 2.640493 3.432755 4.737890 7.070816 11.786426 25.817622
2025-11-16 2.016581 2.564952 3.355486 4.674128 7.076528 12.087816 28.034306
2025-11-23 1.979290 2.534197 3.344019 4.718471 7.290785 12.906612 32.713414
2025-11-30 1.936196 2.492863 3.313742 4.727826 7.437057 13.598440 37.584257
2025-12-07 1.858863 2.398006 3.195977 4.577908 7.247993 13.412129 38.337039
2025-12-14 1.799331 2.327774 3.114060 4.486236 7.170272 13.505099 40.643241
2025-12-21 1.752911 2.275526 3.058182 4.436932 7.175196 13.820345 44.536986
2025-12-28 1.719679 2.241941 3.030398 4.435874 7.281735 14.441880 51.197692
2026-01-04 1.704660 2.235268 3.045163 4.512499 7.564931 15.653741 64.622917
2026-01-11 1.686837 2.223537 3.050959 4.572629 7.819151 16.865568 82.392194